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Thursday, November 8, 2012

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Editorial

President Obama’s Success

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President Obama’s dramatic re-election victory was not a sign that a fractured nation had finally come together on Election Day. But it was a strong endorsement of economic policies that stress job growth, health care reform, tax increases and balanced deficit reduction — and of moderate policies on immigration, abortion and same-sex marriage. It was a repudiation of Reagan-era bromides about tax-cutting and trickle-down economics, and of the politics of fear, intolerance and disinformation.

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"I voted Romney. Obama won. Time to give him what he wants. ... Voters have spoken."
Bud, McKinney, Texas
The president’s victory depended heavily on Midwestern Rust Belt states like Ohio, where the bailout of the auto industry — which Mr. Obama engineered and Mr. Romney opposed — proved widely popular for the simple reason that it worked.
More broadly, Midwestern voters seemed to endorse the president’s argument that the government has a significant role in creating private-sector jobs and boosting the economy. They rejected Mr. Romney’s position that Washington should simply stay out of such matters and let the free market work its will.
The Republicans’ last-ditch attempt to steal away Pennsylvania by stressing unemployment was a failure there and elsewhere. Voters who said unemployment was a major issue voted mainly for Mr. Obama.
Mr. Romney, it turns out, made a fatal decision during the primaries to endorse a hard line on immigration, which earned him a resounding rejection by Latinos. By adopting a callous position that illegal immigrants could be coerced into “self-deportation,” and by praising Arizona’s cruel immigration law, Mr. Romney made his road in Florida and several other crucial states much harder. Only one-third of voters said illegal immigrants should all be deported, while two-thirds endorsed some path to legal residency and citizenship. The Republican approach, if unchanged, will cost them dearly in the future.
Still, Mr. Obama’s victory did not show a united country. Richer Americans supported Mr. Romney, while poorer Americans tended to vote for Mr. Obama. There also remained clear divisions among voters by gender, age, race and religion.
African-Americans and Hispanics overwhelmingly supported Mr. Obama. White men voted for Mr. Romney; he won among those who said they opposed gay marriage, wanted to outlaw abortion, or favored mass deportation of illegal immigrants. None of those are majority positions in this country anymore.
Mr. Romney’s strategy of blaming Mr. Obama for just about everything, while serenely assuring Americans he had a plan to cut the deficit without raising taxes or making major cuts in Medicare, simply did not work.
A solid majority of voters said President George W. Bush was to blame for the state of the economy rather than Mr. Obama. And voters showed more subtlety in their economic analysis than Mr. Romney probably expected. Those who thought the housing market and unemployment were the nation’s biggest problems said they voted for Mr. Obama. Those most concerned about taxes voted heavily for Mr. Romney.
Significantly, 60 percent of voters said taxes should be raised either on the rich or on everyone. Only 35 percent said they should not be raised at all; that group, naturally, went heavily for Mr. Romney. The polling made it clear that Americans were unhappy with the economic status quo, and substantial numbers of voters said the economy was getting worse. But Mr. Romney did not seem to persuade voters that the deficit was a crushing problem. Only 1 in 10 voters said the deficit was the most important issue facing the country.
Republicans had to be disappointed in the results of their unrelenting assault on Mr. Obama’s health care reform law. Only around a quarter of Americans said it should be repealed in its entirety.
People who were comfortable with the rightward slide of the Republican Party (as measured by their comfort with the Tea Party) voted heavily for Mr. Romney.
But Christopher Murphy’s victory over Linda McMahon in the Senate race in Connecticut, Joe Donnelly’s defeat of Richard Mourdock in Indiana’s Senate race and Claire McCaskill’s defeat of Todd Akin in the Missouri Senate race showed the price the Republicans are paying for nominating fringe candidates in their primaries.
The polls were heartening in that they indicated that a solid majority of Americans believe abortion should be legal, and that half of Americans now say their states should recognize marriages between same-sex couples.
That the race came down to a relatively small number of voters in a relatively small number of states did not speak well for a national election apparatus that is so dependent on badly engineered and badly managed voting systems around the country. The delays and breakdowns in voting machines were inexcusable.
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    • RMC
    • NYC
    NYT Pick
    The President won with a coalition of young people, minorities (and so-called minorities will soon be our majority), middle-class workers (maybe not the men, but he got the women) and women of all socio-economic backgrounds. This seems to me to be a pretty broad coalition. Blue-collar white men and a few white women, along with evangelicals, don't comprise a very wide constituency. The Republican base is numerous, but narrow -- and shrinking.

    I hope that whoever analyzes the election results will focus, not on peripherals such as Sandy, but rather the central facts: Obama's record of support for the middle-class (symbolized by his rescue of GM); his support for reproductive rights -- and his phenomenal ground strategy. I was one of many, many thousands of volunteers organized by the campaign to canvas and call battleground states. People also could make such calls at home, by logging onto the Obama campaign website. We had our own version of Facebook, with local "pages" for each group. My group had over 200 such members, held two phone banks per week, and sent weekly buses into PA.

    Obama did not rely on ads to sway voters; he is a community organizer, and he organized. He had a strategy that focused on holding key battleground states, and he deployed his troops accordingly.

    It was a people-to-people campaign. If you want to know why he won, look to the man, and the people. We won it together.
      • wendy
      • Minneapolis
      NYT Pick
      All of the pundits are saying "But this is nowhere near the enthusiasm and support that Obama got in 2008." But I believe it is much more significant that he has won now. People are no longer starry eyed. They no longer believe in miracles. They know times are hard, the country has many challenges, issues are complex and difficult, there is no one shining path.

      NEVERTHELESS they supported the man who has slogged through the trenches, who has tried his very best, who is a man of compassion and character. I truly think this vote reflects great courage and resolve on the part of the American people.
        • Richard Luettgen
        • New Jersey
        NYT Pick
        To PeteH:

        I'd encourage any Member of Congress, of either House, to seriously evaluate any presidential initiative -- always have. But for any such initiative to succeed, it will need to be tolerable to the convictions of those considering it. Remember, every member of the House stood for re-election tonight, too, and those who were elected did so every bit as legitimately as Barack Obama; and they have a job to do, too.

        The president doesn't have any right to unquestioned acquiescence by Congress. And if all he does is seek to re-introduce old ideas already rejected, without having first adjusted them to arrive at a position tolerable to all sides, then those ideas almost certainly will be rejected again. If he wants to keep the ideas and obtain a different outcome, he's going to need to sell them far better than he did in his first term.

        And, you might note that while a few Tea Party candidates were rejected, Republicans nevertheless gained ground just about everywhere. Where there were 29 Republican governors, and 26 with Republican state legislatures, there will now be more.
          • steve
          • denver
          NYT Pick
          White guy, 69, registered Republican, voted for Obama.

          Saddened to see a sea of well dressed white guys -- no blacks, Asians or Latinos in sight -- as Gov. Romney gave his concession speech. I would love a resurgent moderate Republican party where I could find candidates to vote for without having to worry about their theology and misunderstanding of basic science and biology.

          Gov. Romney's 19 pants on fire fact-check record vs. just a couple for Pres. Obama, says more than I ever could about the vicious dissembling and just plain lying that characterized the Romney-Ryan campaign. The best man clearly won.

          For those who worry about creeping socialism, I would put Obama to the right of Harry Truman and just slightly to the left of Dwight Eisenhower. We have big problems, but I'm certainly grateful that that under Obama we are unlikely to follow the Europeans into the dead end strategy of austerity.
            • cathy
            • new york
            NYT Pick
            ...hardly a mandate when half the country voted for Romney - it would be a big mistake for Obama to make to think he has one...
              • mary
              • boston
              NYT Pick
              "If Romney hadn't been caught on tape with that 47% comment it might have all gone very differently."

              And for that we should give a shout-out to President Carter's grandson, James Carter 4th, who unearthed the partial video on YouTube and brought it to nationwide attention. A moment of truth that helped voters realize what defined this "Etch A Sketch" shape-shifting candidate.
                • Eve S.
                • UWS
                NYT Pick
                The answer you're likely to get from Republicans is that there will be no cooperation. But Obama is in a better position to force them to the table than he was 4 years ago. He can - and should - take a leaf from George W. Bush's book and govern as if he had won by a huge majority.

                1. He's not running again.

                2. If the GOP House tries the same tactics again, it will be much easier to expose them as the Party of No, because that was one of the narratives that came out in the campaign. The GOP may imagine that in 2 years they can make gains in the congressional elections, as in 2010, but if they try the same stubborn obstructionism, this time they will be easier to expose.

                3. Obama has learned some useful lessons about the GOP's willingness to go to extremes; he is not likely to place so much faith in bipartisanship.
                  • OB
                  • Melbourne
                  NYT Pick
                  Your analysis fails to mention the significance of women voters in this election. Being a small majority in total voter population, the majority of women voted for Obama.
                  This should not be surprising given the nonsensical comments about God and rape coming from senate candidate Richard Mourdock, who, incidentally, lost his bid in Indiana.
                  This election certainly looks like a watershed moment where traditional sentiment and policy directives that were enough to secure victory are no longer applicable.
                    • Schigolch
                    • Bernalillo, NM
                    NYT Pick
                    As a Republican, let me say I am optimistic. In recent decades, the Republican Party abandoned its historic role as the party of business, and gave itself over to fanaticism. It became a different Party. Tonight it paid the price. I think the old Republican Party died tonight. But as a Republican I'm optimistic.

                    I'm optimistic because, just like the Socialists in France, Greece, and Portugal, the liberals here are soon going to learn the hard way that some of what Mitt Romney said is true. Private industry really is where the jobs come from. Competitiveness matters. Redistribution is necessary, but a way has to be found for entrepreneurship to survive.

                    I'm optimistic because I think President Obama understands this. He said tonight that he wants our children to live in a land of opportunity. I think he understands that socialist paradises like Greece are not that land. Business has a future here, even if its old Party does not. Our country is in good hands.
                      • dgilvarg
                      • new hope pa
                      NYT Pick
                      It is of course disheartening to learn that half the country, and as high as 80% in the typical "red-belt" states, voted for the narrow-minded agenda of tax-cuts, deportation, and criminalization of abortion. On the other hand, it's wonderful to know that anyone with a college education, and both the largest minorities, cannot be hoodwinked into returning to disastrous Bush formula of tax-cuts and war-mongering. We are actually too smart for Karl Rove's ads--who'd have thunk it?
                        • Erin
                        • San Francisco
                        NYT Pick
                        Anyone who knows me and my brother John knows that we have an over-developed sense of fairness. Our mom was a politician--still is, really. On election nights we used to go hide out at the movies till it was over. Tonight I just couldn't listen to the horse race. This election, all the offices, issue after issue, felt hugely important to me because it was about the most fundamental question: as a people, how are we going to treat one another. This time anyway, big money, hatred, greed, sexism, racism and fear did not win. THIS election was about hope.
                          • Y2K
                          • PA
                          NYT Pick
                          Steve: I am a white guy, 66, former registered Republican, voted for Obama.

                          I agree with your thoughts and think the Republican party is out of touch with America. Am I crazy about Obama? No. Was he the better choice of the two for America? I think yes. He put forth his platform. He did not tell the voters, "Trust me on the details". I waited and I waited for Romney to give details of his plan for America but nothing was forthcoming. What was apparent were the outright lies to the American public. And most of the people could spot a phony. Oh how I wish the Republican party would return to the days of moderation. But with Faux News, Rush Limbaugh, Citizen's United, and the Karl Rove's of the world, I won't be holding my breath and will (probably) remain an Independent.
                            • es324
                            • Istanbul
                            NYT Pick
                            Despite the fact that I am not a US voter, I am relieved to learn Mr Obama's election victory. I sincerely believe he is the better choice not only for the USA, but for the rest of the world, as well. My deepest congrats to the American voters..... They have every reason to be proud of the choice they have just made....
                              • Bud
                              • McKinney, Texas
                              NYT Pick
                              I voted Romney.Obama won.Time to give him what he wants.I don't say that maliciously either.Voters have spoken.
                                • NA
                                • New York
                                NYT Pick
                                "Cheer up, Richard. Your gloomy predictions for Obama's second term may be as accurate as your recent predictions of an overwhelming victory for Romney."

                                ...and as accurate as the prediction of the Supreme Court's striking down the ACA. Keep the predictions coming, by all means.
                                  • Joe B.
                                  • Stamford, CT
                                  NYT Pick
                                  If the old, more inclusive, and more moderate Romney who led Massachusetts had not been forced to adopt the radical positions of his party to win his nomination fight, I am convinced he would have been elected last night.

                                  Those Republicans who now claim that Romney was not conservative enough to win the election are deluding themselves. He simply was not moderate enough. Extreme GOP positions on social issues, trickle down tax policies that benefit only the wealthy, ego-driven defense funding that we can't afford, and persistent alienation of non-white voters will bury their party's future in a coffin of hubris. As much as I might enjoy watching the shipwreck if they double down on this deadly course, America truly needs a viable Republican party with more moderate positions that don't completely alienate non-partisan voters.
                                    • M.I. Estner
                                    • Wayland, MA
                                    NYT Pick
                                    Despite supporting Obama, I cannot help but think of this as more Romney’s loss than Obama’s win. This is simply because to me Obama was less inspiring in this campaign than in 2008, even to the point of being uninspiring. However, Romney just was too dislikeable on so many levels that his personality put off enough voters who might have agreed with his ideas and might otherwise have voted for him. Clearly, it was a lesser of two evils election, and the lesser evil did not lose.

                                    The “fiscal cliff” resolution will be a huge test for Obama. He needs to start campaigning on that issue to persuade the public of the historical truth that higher taxes on the wealthy have never caused a recession nor have lower taxes on the wealthy ever caused a boom or even a recovery.

                                    This test will help us to see whether in this term Obama will better grasp the differences among compromise, conciliation and mediation. He cannot be mediator; and conciliation only leads to one’s own compromises, not to mutually beneficial compromises.

                                    Ted Kennedy is famously quoted for saying that one should “never let a perfect solution be the enemy of a good solution.” On the other hand, he did not mean one should accept a bad solution, which Obama has previously done.

                                    Further, Obama may need reminding that FDR welcomed the hatred of his political opposition. It is far more important to be respected by one’s opponents than to be liked by them.
                                      • mmmcr4
                                      • Maryland
                                      NYT Pick
                                      Better angels of America´s nature! Well said, OB from the UK! I am a Hispanic woman (with a Master´s Degree, in case anyone intends to stereotype me as an anomaly). I could not be prouder of my vote for President Obama and for all the Hispanics that determined this election. Bravo!
                                        • zsuzsi
                                        • new york, ny
                                        NYT Pick
                                        Although I am thrilled and relieved that we have re-elected President Obama, my concern jumps to the inexcusable fact that voting challenges are most likely the main reason that people did not bother to vote. Many that I spoke to felt disenfranchised, stating that their vote would not count anyway. Standing on eight hour lines in the cold, being intimidated with threats of jail terms, machines that reverse your choice, pushing people off the rolls, changing polling places, provisional ballots and absentee ballots counted 10 days after election and so on, clearly discouraged all but the most invested. There is simply no excuse for this country which has started wars to "spread democracy" to ignore what has happened in the last several elections and not doing anything to ameliorate the problem. Yes, we have thousands of "poll watchers" and lawyers on hand to record and fix the situation, but we should have laws that protect everyone's voting rights in the first place.
                                          • ST
                                          • Upstate NY
                                          NYT Pick
                                          Last night was an inflection point in the history of the United States. We averted a reversion to the past—a time when a few amassed and controlled the resources and the masses were too childlike to know what’s good for them. As I watched the returns and listened to President Obama’s speech, I couldn’t stop crying. Tears streamed incessantly and I wondered why. I respect and admire the President, but the tears were not for him. It is for this great country that I came to as a child from India, became a doctor, a mother and married a man who himself was born in Russia-- something that could only happen here in America. It was because of the abyss that we almost got lost in, but instead, today there is light.

                                          I don’t think Mr. Romney is evil. But I do think his quest, his unquenchable thirst for power blinded him. He lost his self and sold his soul. When CEO’s of companies email employees suggesting they vote for a candidate, when 47% of the country are considered write-offs, when vitriolic, racist sentiment is thinly, if at all, veiled on “respectable” news outlets and a small group of extremists try to turn back the clock, America--that city on a hill-- was at stake. Yesterday, we stood at the threshold when we nearly returned to a time of the caste system, when the royals controlled the lives of the masses. But, in the end, we came through and preserved this resilient democracy. I am so proud of my America.
                                            • Ann
                                            • California
                                            NYT Pick
                                            Dave, let's look at who has benefited from wealth redistribution in this country. Since 2008, the 1% took home something like 93% of the income gains. The top U.S. corporations paid as little as 5% in taxes and in some cases none at all. U.S. taxpayers are supplementing Walmart family heirs/execs and the box store giants and service chains that don't pay a liveable wage; we pick up the costs for their employees when they go unemployment and for emergency room aid, etc. Mitt Romney who cashed in on the auto bailout through a blind trust and paid less than 13% in taxes for more than 5 years on his income millions--doesn't think enough of this country to even bank his money in the U.S. Each of these topics have been reported int the press. Please read; I think you'll be surprised.
                                              • DDay
                                              • The Flyover
                                              NYT Pick
                                              Nothing like kicking the can down the road for another four years. Rest assured, tough decisions will not be made by someone who fails to acknowledge there's a problem. And, if House Republicans can prevent President Obama from spending a couple more trillion dollars, more power to them. I don't mind vacationing in Greece; but, I don't want to live there.
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